Publications & working papers

Peer-reviewed journal articles

“The Impact of International Interventions to Empower Women in Post-Conflict Countries: Lab-in-the-Field Evidence from the Liberian National Police” (with Kyle Beardsley, Michael Gilligan and Sabrina Karim). International Studies Quarterly (forthcoming)

“Predicting Local Violence: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Liberia” (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman). Journal of Peace Research 54:2 (2017): 298-312. PDF

“Public Health and Public Trust: Survey Evidence from the Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic in Liberia” (with Benjamin Morse and Lily Tsai). Social Science & Medicine 127 (2017): 89-97. PDF

“On the Rights of Warlords: Legitimate Authority and Basic Protection in War-Torn Societies” (with Pablo Kalmanovitz). American Political Science Review 110:3 (2016): 428-440. PDF

“Patterns of Demand for Non-Ebola Health Services During and After the Ebola Outbreak: Panel Survey Evidence from Monrovia, Liberia” (with Karen Grepin, Benjamin Morse and Lily Tsai). BMJ Global Health 1 (2016): e000007. PDF

“How to Promote Order and Property Rights under Weak Rule of Law? An Experiment in Changing Dispute Resolution Behavior through Community Education” (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman). American Political Science Review 108:1 (2014): 100-120. PDF

Under review

“Forecasting Civil Wars: Theory and Structure in an Age of ‘Big Data’ and Machine Learning” (with Nicholas Sambanis)

“Legitimacy after Violence: Evidence from Two Lab-in-the-Field Experiments in Liberia.” PDF

“Policing Ethnicity: Lab-in-the-Field Evidence on Discrimination, Cooperation and Ethnic Balancing in the Liberian National Police” (with Kyle Beardsley, Michael Gilligan and Sabrina Karim). PDF

Working papers

“Building Trust in a Reformed Security Sector: Evidence from a Field Experiment with the Liberian National Police” (with Sabrina Karim and Benjamin Morse)

“Building Trust and Compliance in Weak States: Coproduction during the 2014-2015 Ebola Crisis in Liberia” (with Benjamin Morse and Lily Tsai)

“China and the African State: Sub-National and Cross-National Evidence from Surveys, Survey Experiments and Behavioral Games” (with Philip Roessler)

“The Impact of Informal Institutions on Conflict and Property Rights: Long-Term Experimental Evidence from Liberia” (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman)

“Peacekeeping, Policing and the Rule of Law: Evidence from a Panel Survey and List Experiment in Liberia”

“What Can Prediction Teach Us About Violence? Machine Learning Applications in Indonesia and Colombia” (with Samuel Bazzi, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon and Richard Peck)

Policy reports

Building Trust in a Reformed Security Sector: A Field Experiment in Liberia (with Sabrina Karim and Benjamin Morse). International Growth Centre (2016). PDF

Patterns of Trust and Compliance in the Fight Against Ebola: Results from a Population-Based Survey of Monrovia, Liberia (with Benjamin Morse and Lily Tsai). International Growth Centre (2015). PDF

Effects of Rule-of-Law Sector Quick Impact Projects on Crime Rates, Crime Reporting, and Perceptions of Security and Justice in Liberia. UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) Joint Mission Analysis Centre (2014)

Prospects for Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration (DDR) in Cote d’Ivoire: Results from a Baseline Study. UN Office of Rule of Law and Security Institutions (OROLSI) (2012)

Patterns of Conflict and Cooperation in Rural Liberia (Part 2): Prospects for Conflict Forecasting and Early Warning (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman). Innovations for Poverty Action (2012). PDF

Patterns of Conflict and Cooperation in Rural Liberia (Part 1): Results from a Longitudinal Study (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman). Innovations for Poverty Action (2011). PDF

Can We Teach Peace and Conflict Resolution? Results from an Evaluation of the Community Empowerment Program in Liberia (with Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman). Innovations for Poverty Action (2011). PDF

Quantifying the Incidence and Prevalence of Violence in Post-War Liberia. Small Arms Survey (2011)